2020년 10월 |
지역의 미래 환경 비전 공간화를 위한 토지이용계획 시나리오 체계 연구 |
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Climate change causes an adverse impact on biodiversity and human life. Correspondingly, global communities have proposed visions and goals to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change without considering local land use planning. Thus, in this study, we propose a framework for local land-use scenarios with an environment-friendly vision and goal. Through literature survey, we summarized our scenario framework in three steps: 1) development of a system, 2) storyline development, 3) review and distribution. First, we prepared a system that can help set a plan in motion. Then, we developed the storyline by selecting 25 main variables, which were classified into seven categories. Climate change adaptation and mitigation, type of ecosystem, effects of urban areas, and land use policies were selected as direct variables, while the other 21 variables were considered as indirect variables. After we applied the framework to the Ansan-si region in South Korea, we conducted a Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis to link the key variables, and then proposed a direction for the application of the scenario-based strategy. After establishing five scenarios, we constructed narrative storylines using the key direct variables identified in each scenario. As a result of the application of our framework to the Ansan-si region, we established a narrative storyline framework for local land use planning considering a quantification scenario. Thus, the proposed land use planning framework considers the impact of climate change and ecosystem service changes at the local level. |
송원경, 성선용, 권혁수, 박찬, 박진한, 손학기, 주우영, 김수련 |
국토계획 |