저자 : 신명철

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저자 : 송원경, 성선용, 권혁수, 박찬, 박진한, 손학기, 주우영, 김수련

Climate change causes an adverse impact on biodiversity and human life. Correspondingly, global communities have proposed visions and goals to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change without considering local land use planning. Thus, in this study, we propose a framework for local land-use scenarios with an environment-friendly vision and goal. Through literature survey, we summarized our scenario framework in three steps: 1) development of a system, 2) storyline development, 3) review and distribution. First, we prepared a system that can help set a plan in motion. Then, we developed the storyline by selecting 25 main variables, which were classified into seven categories. Climate change adaptation and mitigation, type of ecosystem, effects of urban areas, and land use policies were selected as direct variables, while the other 21 variables were considered as indirect variables. After we applied the framework to the Ansan-si region in South Korea, we conducted a Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis to link the key variables, and then proposed a direction for the application of the scenario-based strategy. After establishing five scenarios, we constructed narrative storylines using the key direct variables identified in each scenario. As a result of the application of our framework to the Ansan-si region, we established a narrative storyline framework for local land use planning considering a quantification scenario. Thus, the proposed land use planning framework considers the impact of climate change and ecosystem service changes at the local level.

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 국토계획
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저자 : 반영운(비공개)

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 세미나자료집
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저자 : 성진욱

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 세미나자료집
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저자 : 이선주(연세대학교 심바이오틱라이프텍 전문연구원)

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 세미나자료집
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저자 : Jang Saewoom, Jung Juchul

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of management policy by looking at changes in land fragmentation in non-urban areas. This study defines and analyzes the phenomena of land fragmentation and sprawl in non-urban areas, which are critical in the policy. We have examined changes in land patterns before and after the period when the Segmentation of Control areas policy was enforced. We selected Hwaseong City as the subject of the research and then focused on the Used-Areas, one of the seven categories in the Land Cover Maps of 2001, 2007, 2009, and 2014, to examine the changes in land-cover fragmentation patterns. Fragstats program was used to quantitatively analyze the fragmentation pattern of land. Through a literature review, we selected seven indices related to (1) the size and the number of land patches, (2) the patch shape and complexity, and (3) the isolation and connection caused by fragmentation. Quantitative values were used to investigate the changes in value before and after 2008. The indices related to the size and the number of the land patches in the Used-Areas show that there were more subdivisions and smaller developments after 2008 than before. The shapes of patches became more complex after the policy period but one thing to note is that the values don’t have a dynamic range. The values of the indices related to isolation and connectivity indicate that more patches were isolated and had less connection in 2009–2014 than in 2001–2007. These results show that sporadic development of small scale has continued to occur even after the implementation of the Segmentation of Control areas policy.

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 국토계획
• 미리보기
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저자 : 장새움, 정주철

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the management policy through changes in land fragmentation in non-urban areas. This study defines and analyzes the phenomenon of land fragmentation and the sprawl in non-urban areas, which are critical in the policy. We have examined changes in land patterns before and after the period when the Segmentation of Control areas policy was enforced. We selected Hwaseong City as the subject of the research and then focused on the Used-Areas, one of the seven categories in the Land Cover Map of 2001, 2007, 2009, and 2014 to examine the changes in land-cover fragmentation patterns. Fragstats program was used to quantitatively analyze the fragmentation pattern of land. Through a literature review, we selected seven indices related to (1) the size and the number of land patches, (2) the patch shape and complexity, and (3) the isolation and connection caused by fragmentation. Quantitative values were used to investigate the changes in values before and after 2008. The indices related to the size and the number of the land patches in the Used-Areas show that there were more subdivisions and smaller developments after 2008 than before. The shape of patch became more complex after the policy period but one thing to note is that the values don’t have dynamic range. The values of the indices related to isolation and connectivity indicate that more patches were isolated and had less connection in 2009–2014 than in 2001–2007. These results show that the sporadic developmental form of small scale has continued to occur even after the implementation of the Segmentation of Control areas policy.

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 국토계획
• 미리보기
• 원문다운

저자 : 양희진, 윤희연

This study aims to empirically assess the effects of heat-wave adaptation policies on the incidence of heat-related illnesses. The study period is the summer of 2018, in which the temperature in South Korea reached a record high. We tested the four generalized linear models, including the Poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated Poisson, and zero-inflated negative binomial regressions. After fitting these with the heat-related patients count data, we selected the zero-inflated negative binomial analysis for its superior goodness-of-fit. The results suggested that temperature increment is associated with the number of patients with heat-related symptoms regardless of whether or not a heat warning went off. Further, the empirical results demonstrated that the increase of both urban forests and cooling shelters in residential areas are associated with lower incidences of heat-related illnesses. Given that climate change is expected to increase the intensity and duration of heat waves, it is necessary to establish better systems for both weather prediction and information delivery in implementing heat warnings. Furthermore, this study suggests that green land use planning and heat-illness prevention programs could be viable measures for preventing adverse effects on human health from extreme weather events.

• 대한국토·도시계획학회
• 국토계획
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